The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, by by Nassim Nicholas Taleb →

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A black swan is a highly improbable event that is unpredictable and carries a massive impact. Only after the fact that we can develop an explanation for what happens, makes the event seem less random and more predictable than it was. Black Swan’s events are not predictable because they are unknown until after they occur.

The Author, Nicholas Taleb, was an options trader and quantitative analyst who mistrusts “bell-curve" models. The Black Swan, considered a rare and unpredictable condition for a swan, is a theory used as a metaphor to describe events that come as a surprise with a significant effect and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

Taleb also claims that what a Black Swan event is conditional on the eye of the beholder. An example of this is offered by saying that what is a Black Swan event for a turkey may not be one for a butcher.

The book uses models of banks and trading firms to show that their financial models are defective and leave them exposed to losses far greater than their tools of analysis show them. It suggests that these types of events cannot be predicted or even studied, and they are left off bell curves tracking deviations because bell curve theory cannot handle them.

The book has been described by The Sunday Times as one of the twelve most influential books since World War II. As of 2019, it has been cited approximately 10,000 times and the book has spent 36 weeks on the New York Times Bestseller list and has been published in 32 languages.  

Some may say that the book itself is a “Black Swan”.

Random House, ISBN 978-1400063512 | Books by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Black swan theory | Epistemology

Into the Wild, by Jon Krakauer →

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June 19, 2020, 12:50 PM MDT / Updated June 19, 2020, 2:21 PM MDT

By The Associated Press

State officials said that JUNEAU, Alaska — An abandoned bus in the Alaska back-country, popularized by the book “Into the Wild” and the movie of the same name, was removed Thursday. It was known as “Bus 142” and the “Magic Bus,” and the rusty green-and-white vehicle had exerted a dangerous and almost talismanic power over hikers for nearly a quarter-century — ever since the book “Into the Wild” immortalized Christopher McCandless’s solitary odyssey and lonely death in the Alaskan outback.

Christopher McCandless graduated from Emory University in Atlanta in 1992.   He came from a successful, wealthy family, did well in school, and had $24,000 in cash that he could give to charity when he made his life-changing decision. McCandless changed his name to Alex Supertramp and then hitchhiked to Alaska, where he went to “live in the wild.”

Compare his trip to Thoreau (in itself an excellent reason to look at this review), who said about his Walden experience, “I went to the woods because I wished to live deliberately, “to front only the essential facts of life, and see if I could not learn what it had to teach, and not, when I came to die, discover that I had not lived.” Thoreau was within walking distance of where Emerson lived, and he probably felt he had learned all those essential facts, but McCandless must have learned far more than he expected before those basic facts took his life.

McCandless changed his name to Alex Supertramp. His statement about why he did this was ``You must lose your inclination for monotonous security and adopt a helter-skelter style of life''.  He had nothing but a rice bag and had thrown away his map. He left a diary, letters, and notes which tell of his unsuccessful effort to survive.  He was lost, injured, and starving, and after four months, a moose hunter found his decomposed body.

 The author dug into McCandless’s youth to see if he just had a death wish.  He found a rebellious, moody young man with a strained relationship with his father but nothing that would point to anything but an adventurist young man who made severe mistakes on this trip.

Quotes by Jon Krakauer

“Happiness is only real when shared”

“It's not always necessary to be strong, but to feel strong.” 

“Some people feel like they don't deserve love. They walk away quietly into empty spaces, trying to close the gaps of the past.”   

“We like companionship, but we can't stand to be around people for very long. So we get ourselves lost, come back for a while, then get out again." 

“The core of man’s spirit comes from new experiences.” 

Keep Going, by Austin Kleon →

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Austin Kleon wrote “Steal Like an Artist and Showed Your Work!” where he told his readers how to unlock their creativity by using their hero’s work as springboards. His latest book, “Keep Going, 10 Ways to Stay Creative In Good Times and Bad”, continues to encourage us. He says the creative life involves finding a daily routine suggesting, like the message from the movie Groundhog Day, that today is the only day we have.

The author tells us to disconnect from the world to connect with ourselves and work as though there’s no success or failure; there’s just the work to be done. Find a “sacred” place and time for doing your job. Forget about being an artist and living up to the image. Instead, do the work.

The book contains examples of just doing the work and straightforward advice. 

An excellent small book for creative minds.

Quotes

“Don’t wait until you know who you are to start.”

“Creativity is about connections; connections are not made by spinning everything off into its own space. Interesting juxtapositions form new ideas, and interesting juxtapositions happen when things are out of place.” 

“Drawing is simply another way of seeing, which we don’t do as adults,” says cartoonist Chris Ware. We’re all going around in a “cloud of remembrance and anxiety,” he says, and the act of drawing helps us live in the moment and concentrate on what’s really in front of us.” 

“If you draw,” said the cartoonist E. O. Plauen, “the world becomes more beautiful, far more beautiful.”

Run Away, by Harlen Coben

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Harlan Coben is well known for his writing style of misdirection and for catching readers off guard; his new book, “Run Away,” is a masterpiece bringing unexpected twists to this mystery.

Simon Greene is a successful Wall Street executive, and his wife Ingrid is a successful pediatrician. They have three kids, but the oldest, Paige, recently quit college and disappeared. Simon saw his daughter, now a drug addict playing the guitar and panhandling in Central Park.  She runs. Simon chases her but is confronted by her boyfriend, who is also an addict named Aaron.  Both Aaron and Paige getaway.  The confrontation is captured on video, goes viral, and Simon looks terrible. It isn’t long before Aaron is found beaten to death, and Simon is a suspect. Both Simon and his wife, Ingrid, focus on finding Paige.

Several storylines are also unfolding. One has to do with a Chicago-based private investigator named Elena Ramirez, who is searching for another missing person, and several other cases are taking place in Boston and New Jersey.  It becomes clear that the issues are connected, but it is a surprise when it all becomes clear.

Harlan is the creator and executive producer for the Netflix television drama THE STRANGER, based on his novel- see that review.

Quotes

“There are virtually no major life decisions you make that are not in some way based on your finances.” “Terrific," Simon said.

 “Terrific," Simon said. "The psychos are on my side.” 

“This is for Jersey, the good dog, who would be happy to share this bench with you.”

 “And bad stays. Bad doesn't go away. You bury bad; it digs itself out. You throw bad in the middle of the ocean; it comes back at you like a tidal wave.”

 “Love your parents - while we are busy growing up, they are growing old.”

 “Truth is truth. By definition. Anything else is a lie.” 

The Girl with Seven Names, Escape from North Korea, by Hyeonseo Lee →

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THE GIRL WITH SEVEN NAMES brings fascinating insight into one of the world’s most oppressed societies. Author, Hyeonseo Lee, grew up in Hyesan, next to the Chinese border. She grew up believing that their country was the best in the world and that the South Koreans were planning to attack them. She survived North Korea’s repressive regime, indoctrination, and even the Great Famine, to escape in 1997.

In a Ted Talk in 2013, Lee said, “Among those of us who were born in North Korea and who have escaped it, the story I am telling is not uncommon.” She then tells the audience she understands that they are probably asking themselves, “why does a country such as mine still exist in the world?” She follows, saying she “still loves her country and misses it very much.”

Her father’s job in the military in her early life was why they were relatively well off. Things changed when the secret police arrested her father under the pretense of spying.  He was beaten so severely that he later died.

Hyesan was located right on the Chinese border with nothing but a river between the countries. Crossing the river was often a source of illegal trade and eventually a way to defect. Lee’s relatives included her “Uncle Opium,” who smuggled North Korean heroin into China. (Lee gave unique names to her many family members to protect their identity)

Lee began questioning her life because of the poverty and starvation she witnessed and felt it didn’t make sense if her country was, as she had been told, “the best on the planet.”

At age seventeen, she decided to escape North Korea. She could not have imagined that it would be twelve years before she was to be reunited with her family. She never expected that the years between her escape from the North and her arrival in the South would be far more dangerous for her: going first to China, then later for family members to Vietnam, Laos, and Thailand. Lee’s survival skills were her ability to quickly pick up the Chinese language and using her savings for the many bribes she had to pay. Getting new names and identities helped a lot too.

She writes in her epilogue that "the smallest thing sends me back into steel-plated survival mode.”  The story made me recall the book “Nothing to Envy: Ordinary Lives in North Korea by Barbara Demick,” which presented a similar view of the North. 

More books by those who have escaped North Korea are coming out and hopefully will help bring about positive changes. This is a must-read book that you will not want to put down.

See Hyeonseo Lee’s Ted Talk Click Here to Link to Talk

Lee Hyeon-Seo (Korean: 이현서, born January 1980), best known for her book, is a North Korean defector and activist who lives in Seoul, South Korea, where she is a student. 

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Another Must Read Book click to Link

Bazaar of Bad Dreams by Stephen King →

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Bazaar of Bad Dreams is a collection of 20 short stories and an introduction; King tells us, “You’d be surprised- at least, I think you would be at how many people ask me why I still write short stories. The reason is simple: writing them makes me happy because I was built to entertain.”

He explains, “Short stories require a kind of acrobatic skill that takes a lot of tiresome practice.”

When King tells you that a novel is more forgiving because your mistakes don’t stick out quite as much, it resonates with you if you have tried to write short stories.

The story themes cover a broad range, and King introduces some of the ideas by talking directly to his “constant reader,” and you are left anxious to explore what he offers.

He summarizes his introduction by saying: “I made them, especially for you………… Feel free to examine them, but please be careful. The best of them have teeth.”

The book does not disappoint.

See more about Stephen King and all the books of his reviewed on this site

Quotes from this Book

“Faith is, by its very definition, belief without proof.”

“Such grave matters as sin and forgiveness should remain between man and God”

“When a long book succeeds, the writer and reader are not just having an affair; they are married.”

“And do come a little closer. I don’t bite. Except . . . we’ve known each other for a very long time, and I suspect you know that’s not entirely true. Is it?”

“Winnie, but I don’t believe in sin.” He smiled. It was a benevolent smile. Also unpleasant: sheep lips, wolf teeth. “That’s fine. But sin believes in you.”

Doctor Sleep by Stephen King

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The plot of Dr. Sleep requires an understanding of the plot of “The Shining” and the history of Danny Torrance at the Overlook Hotel, where angry ghosts wanted to consume his “shining power.”

As an adult, Dan, like his father, is an alcoholic who finally ends up in New Hampshire, where he gives up drinking, and his psychic abilities come back. He can offer comfort to dying patients in the hospice home he works in and gains the nickname’ Dr. Sleep.’

Dan meets Abra Stone, a young girl with the same powers that he has, only much more robust. Abra psychically witnesses the ritual torture and murder of a boy by the True Knot, a group of psychic vampires, many of which possess their own "shine" abilities. The True Knot members feed on "steam,” a psychic essence produced when the people who have the shining die in pain. The True Knot's leader, Rose the Hat, becomes aware of Abra's existence and formulates a plan to kidnap Abra and keep her alive, making her produce a limitless supply of steam.

Dan and Abra team up to fight the True Kno,t and the plot holds our attention and seems as good as the plot of “TheShiningn.”.

See more about Stephen King and his other books reviewed on this site

Quotes

Now, you need to listen to me. The world is a hungry place, a dangerous place, and a dark place. I’ve only met two or three people like us. They died. When I was a kid, I bumped into these things. I don’t know about magic. I always called it the shining. 

Life was a wheel, its only job was to turn, and it always returned to where it started.

The good thing about being old is you don’t have to worry about dying young. 

Death was no less a miracle than birth.

Dark Tomorrow by Reece Hirsch →

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FBI special agent Lisa Tanchik is a cybercrime specialist who has distinguished herself by taking down a Dark Web black market site worth billions.

The government asks her to get involved when a terrorist attack on US Cyber Command occurs and the entire East Coast goes dark. The question is, “How do you catch a terrorist living in cyberspace"?”

When Tanchik starts to hunt down the trustworthy source of the attacks, she finds a skilled hacker, NatalyaX, who she has had dealing before with and who may be someone she won’t be able to beat. A sinister plan is unfolding before her eyes—and no one knows who’s behind it.

Lisa Tanchik brings a blend of science and exciting action with her with a storyline that seems to be cutting-edge material for this coming series.

NO ORDINARY DOG My Partner from the SEAL Teams to Bin Laden Raid Will Chesney →

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The story of former U.S. Navy SEAL Will Chesney, the dog Cario and what they went through to cut the top SEAL team. He details the mental and physical stresses of SEAL training, noting that only 20% of candidates graduate. After his early deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan, he returned impressed with two military working dogs. Since he loved dogs, he became a canine handler and was assigned Cairo, a Belgian Malinois with a hard work ethic and easygoing demeanor.

Will and Cario forged a bond in training and on the battlefield that grew into a loving friendship and lifelong commitment.

Cairo was shot twice while flushing out a pair of insurgents and participating in the 2011 raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound in Pakistan. Cario was the only dog chosen to be with the special ops SEAL team the night of the raid in Abbottabad, Pakistan.

In a later mission, Chesney suffered a brain injury from a grenade, leading to his retirement. Cario was critical in helping Chesney make the transition and saved his life in battle and his recovery.   

Chesney shows nothing but respect for those he worked with and the institutions of the military. This story will give you added reference to the relationship humans and animals can share—a well-done important story.

Walk The Wire by David Baldacci →

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Baldacci’s books draw you in and your into another world. It is an escape that holds your interest from cover to cover. Walk the Wire is the sixth in the Memory Man series.

FBI Agent Amos Decker, Memory Man, is back, and he and Jamison are sent to investigate the death of a young woman in London, South Dakota, Irene Cramer, whose remains are found by a lone hunter and who were expertly autopsied by her killer and then dumped where wolves might have eaten her.

The town is next door to an old military base, a religious group, secluded homes, and in the middle of a booming economy with the explosion of growth in the fracking industry, which has attracted people worldwide.

See more on David Baldacci in the Favorite Author Section.

David Baldacci Quotes

• “Why can't people just sit and read books and be nice to each other?”

• “But if I worried too much about publishers' expectations, I'd probably paralyze myself and not be able to write anything.”

• “Today might not be so good. But tomorrow, you got another chance to get it right.

• “It's my experience that most folk who ride trains could care less where they're going. For them, it's the journey and the people they meet along the way. You see, at every stop this train makes, a little bit of America and your country gets on and says hello.”

If It Bleeds by Stephen King →

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Stephen King’s book is four new novellas: Mr. Harrigan’s Phone, The Life of Chuck, Rat, and the title story If It Bleeds.

The title for "If It Bleeds” comes from the newsroom axiom “If it bleeds, it leads.” In this story, Holly Gibney, who appeared in Mr. Mercedes, Finders Keepers, End of Watch, and The Outsider, is now a private investigator at the Finders Keepers detective agency. She was working on the case of a missing dog when she saw a report of a school bombing on TV. When she tunes in again to the late-night news, she realizes something is not quite right about the correspondent who was first on the scene. Soon, she finds out that she is not the only one who suspects the reporter, Chet Ondowsky. A little background research suggests that Ondowsky’s being first on the scene at incidents of horrific carnage is no coincidence, and Holly wonders if the reporter might be deliberately causing the atrocities that have taken place.

The “Life of Chuck” is three separate stories linked to tell Charles Krantz’s life story in reverse, beginning with his death from a brain tumor at 39 and ending with his childhood in a supposedly haunted house. This might be worth rereading because it seems odd and takes some getting used to.

“Rat” is about a writer and a rat. The main character is Drew Larsen. We get to experience him bringing a book together, and King’s insights into that process make it very real; of course, we get to meet eventually the Rat, who asks some deep, thought-provoking questions about the price we’re willing to pay for personal success, and whether an old, sick person’s life is worth less than that of someone younger.

“Mr. Harrigan’s Phone” uses an Apple phone to set the stage for retribution from the grave. The question is whether the ghost is in the grave or the phone is connected to how supernatural forces set in-play events that punish those who have done wrong and reward kindness.

Stephen King sits down to read the first chapter of “If It Bleeds” for a YOU TUBE presentation and he refers to this Edward Hopper painting, “Room in New York” and he references the painting saying, Edward Hopper is known as the “Patron Saint of Social Distancing” see more in Art Review Section.

Also see more on Stephen King in Favorite Author Section

The Secret Life of Plants by Peter Tompkins →

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The Secret Life of Plants, by Peter Tompkins and Christopher Bird, documents controversial experiments that claim to reveal unusual phenomena regarding plants, such as the capacity to feel, sense, or experience subjectivity discovered through experimentation.

The book includes experiments on plant stimuli using a polygraph and discusses progressive farming methods based on these findings.

Scientists have criticized the book falsely or mistakenly, claiming it was based on the scientific method.

The book is exciting, and the claim of sensitivity of plants seems believable, but many of the unsubstantiated claims have negatively impacted plant study credibility.

Hidden Life of Trees is a better overall book on Trees

click to seethe review

How to Read and Why by Harold Bloom / Because it Matters! →

Professor Bloom's book teaches you more about him and his opinions in the Preface and Prologue. The rest of the book demonstrates what he wants to say, using other well-known authors. 

This review is focused on those two sections. The questions they answer are important to readers, and they offer a guide to those who love books.

Important thoughts: Taken from the Preface & Prologue

"There is no single way to read well, though there is a prime reason why we should read..............it is where shall wisdom be found?

Reading well is one of the great pleasures that solitude can afford you, because it is the most healing of pleasures.

It returns you to otherness........... Imaginative literature is otherness and, as such, alleviates loneliness.

We read not only because we cannot know enough people, but because friendship is so vulnerable............ This book teaches how to read and why........... never separate the how and the why.  

(Quoting Virginia Woolf) The only advice about reading that one person can give another is to take no advice.

Why Read

Because It Matters: if individuals are to retain any capacity to form their own judgments and opinions, they continue to read for themselves.

How they read, well or badly, and what they read, cannot depend wholly upon themselves, but why they read must be for and in their own interest.

You can read only to pass the time, or you can read with an overt urgency, but eventually you will read against the clock..................

One of the uses of reading is to prepare ourselves for change, and the final change, alas, is universal. ...........

Read not to contradict and confute, believe and take for granted, or find talk and discourse, but to weigh and consider.

The pleasures of reading are indeed selfish, rather than social. You cannot directly improve anyone else's life by reading better or more deeply.....................

Do not attempt to improve your neighbor or your neighborhood by what or how you read.

Read deeply, not to believe, not to accept, not to contradict, but to learn to share in that one nature that writes and reads."

Where Shall Wisdom be Found? In books.

Why do we read? Because it matters.

 

Good Thoughts all of which seem relevant to the question raised in "King James Bible" Edition

"He said unto him, What is written in the law? How readest thou?"

How to Read and Why

By Harold Bloom

Buy on Amazon

Creative Calling by Chase Jarvis →

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Subtitle: Creative Calling: Establish a Daily Practice, Infuse Your World with Meaning, and Succeed in Work + Life, Reviews

The book brings many valuable ideas about creativity and how to approach and sustain it. It draws heavily on the author’s successful career in photography. Did I finish the book convinced that it would change my life? No, not really, but it did a better job than most in trying to get me to believe it.

The first page of this book offers a helpful overview: “Creativity is a force inside every person that, when unleashed, transforms our lives and delivers vitality to everything we do. Therefore, establishing a creative practice is our most valuable and urgent task - as crucial to our well-being as exercise or nutrition.  

The good news? Renowned artist, author, and CreativeLive founder, Chase Jarvis, reminds us that creativity isn't a skill—it's a habit available to everyone:  beginners and lifelong creators, entrepreneurs to executives, astronauts to zookeepers, and everyone in between. Through small, daily actions, we can supercharge our innate creativity and rediscover our power in life.

Whether your ambition is a creative career, completing a creative project, or simply cultivating an innovative mindset, Creative Calling will unlock your potential via Jarvis’s memorable “IDEA” system: 

• Imagine your big dream, whatever you want to create—or become—in this world.

• Design a daily practice that supports that dream—and a life of expression and transformation.

• Execute your ambitious plans and make your vision real.

• Amplify your impact through a supportive community you’ll learn to grow and nurture.”

Intensity, a Novel by Dean Koontz →

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The definition of intensity is the quality of being very strong, concentrated, or complex, and the book has the correct title for sure.

Dean Koontz presents his novel, Intensity, with Chyna Shepard and Laura Templeton, two college students with a special bond, going to spend a weekend with Laura’s parents in Napa Valley, California. The first night they arrive, the serial killer invades the home, Engler Vess, who breaks in and kills Laura, her mother, father, and her sister and brother-in-law.   After Vess kills Laura, he takes her body to his motor home, parked in front. Chyna, who has successfully stayed hidden, sneaks aboard the motor home and finds that her friend is dead, but before she can escape, Vess gets in and drives away.

Chyna hides in a back room of the motor home with Laura’s body. When Vess stops at a gas station to get gas, she sneaks out of the motor home, and while hiding inside the station, she hears Vess bragging to the gas station clerks that he is holding a young girl, Ariel, a prisoner in his basement. He had already decided to kill the two clerks and just wanted to see the expression on their faces when he told them about Ariel. He had brought his polaroid camera because he liked to take pictures of his victims when they were dead. After he leaves, she finds a key to one of the slain clerk’s cars and decides that she must try to follow Vess to his home to try to free Ariel.

Chyna follows the killer, who is on his way to the coast of Oregon. On the way, she decides to pass the motor home he is driving and speed ahead, then faking a crash, blocking the road with the car and then waiting for Vess to stop and investigate, enabling her to sneak back into the motor home and hide in the same room as before. Still, her presence is detected this time, but the killer pretends not to know she is there and heads for his destination.

Vess’s home is secluded deep in a wooded area. His two-story cabin is loaded with high-tech computer equipment, and the property is protected by a trained pack of Dobermans that will kill anyone attempting to get in or out. When they arrive, Vess goes into the home alone, signals the dogs to stand down, not show themselves, and waits. Chyna sneaks into the house and finds Airel locked in a basement room before she is confronted and chained up by the killer.

So far in the story, the intensity has never let up, as Chyna has had to deal with the killer. We wonder why she has followed him and how she could have believed she could make any difference. We learn much about Chyna’s days as a young girl growing up in dangerous situations, and we understand more about her toughness. When she is finally captured and chained up in inner strength, her intensity remarkably affects the plot.

The plot flows from the strong character traits of both Chyna and Vess. Both are intense, and the book has a great deal of energy, strength, and concentration and will hold you on the edge of your seat till the very end.

More about Dean Koontz at Favorite Author Page

Quotes

• “Hunches [are] just messages from the subconscious, which [is] thinking furiously all the time and processing information we have not consciously noted.” ...

• “But victimhood was seductive, a release from responsibility and caring. ...

• “Human cruelty and treachery surpassed all understanding.”